Every few hours, a new headline drops:
"The U.S. is approaching a dangerous measles precipice..."
"Outbreaks could explode..."
"Millions of cases forecast over 25 years..."
But what if you had access to real-time estimates based on how measles actually spreads?
What if you didn’t have to guess, fear, or rely on drama-driven reporting?
That’s what VaxCalc does.
VaxBot™ tracks outbreak trends, reporting lags, and known case durations to give you a far more accurate estimate of how many measles cases are truly active right now.
This week’s reality check (as of April 25):
- Official total: 884 cases reported in 2025 (cumulative)
- Likely active cases nationwide: about 108 to 115
“Big scary outbreak? Fuggedaboutit. I’ve seen bigger problems at a kid’s birthday party. Still, smart crew keeps an eye on the playground.”
— Tony, Protector of the Crew
Compare for yourself:
🧠 VaxBot's estimate:

📺 Mainstream headlines:

We’re not downplaying risk. We’re just refusing to inflate it.
If you want to make smart decisions for your family — without the fear fog — get the real intel.
Join VaxCalc and get access to weekly outbreak reports and tools to customize your vaccine strategy.
Next time the headlines scream panic, will you already be inside the Crew — or left scrambling?
Update: 4 months later, August 18, 2025:
CDC halts publishing measles case counts without explanation:

and Texas announces end of West Texas measles outbreak:
The Texas Department of State Health Services is reporting the end of this year’s measles outbreak centered in West Texas. It has been more than 42 days since a new case was reported in any of the counties that previously showed evidence of ongoing transmission. DSHS will continue to monitor for new cases but will cease updating the interactive outbreak dashboard.

Next time the headlines scream panic, will you already be inside the Crew — or left scrambling?